Portofino Mint - 6 October 2025
Bitcoin and Ethereum hit record highs as ETF inflows and adoption surge.
๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐น๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฃ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ผ๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ผ ๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐!
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๐ Week in Review: Crypto Roars Back
Crypto markets stormed back to life this week, and Bitcoin stole the show. The king of crypto smashed through $125,000, breaking previous records and igniting a wave of optimism across the market. Ethereum followed suit, climbing past $4,600, while Solana, BNB, and XRP enjoyed solid gains.
ETF inflows poured in like clockwork: $3.24 billion into Bitcoin and $1.3 billion into Ethereum. Meanwhile, the decentralized world celebrated as perpetual DEX volumes topped $1 trillion in September, driven by Aster, Hyperliquid, and Lighter. On the stablecoin front, the total market cap soared past $300 billion, led by USDT at $176 billionโa strong signal of renewed liquidity and participation.
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๐ Bitcoin & Ethereum: Setting New Records
- โBitcoin (BTC)โ
- Started the week at $112,163, rocketed to All-Time-High $125,708, posting six of seven green sessions.
- ETF inflows hit a record $3.24 billion, triggering over $130 million in short liquidations.
- Derivatives show a positive spot/vol correlation, reflecting strong demand for upside exposure.
- Exchange reserves sit at six-year lows, signaling institutional accumulation
- โRSI neutral, positive spot/vol correlation; short-term pullbacks likely absorbed quickly.
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Climbed from $4,142 to $4,618, supported by $1.3 billion in ETF inflows.
- The Fusaka upgrade on the Holesky testnet passed with flying colors, introducing PeerDAS to reduce validator costs and streamline Layer 2 operations.
- Holding above $4,500, staking yields may add upside support.
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๐ช Altcoins & Layer-1 Stars
- Solana (SOL): $232, +2%
- BNB: $1,167, +8%, powering PancakeSwapโs 34% rally to $3.58 and record DEX revenue of $49.7M in 30 days.
- NEAR Protocol: $2.86, +10%, surged on a Cardano partnership enabling cross-chain ADA swaps.
- Zcash (ZEC): Up 172% over the past week, spotlighting growing investor appetite for privacy-focused projects.
- โPerpetual DEXs reached a milestone: September volumes topped $1 trillion, up 48% from August. Early October trading already exceeded Marchโs monthly total, proving the momentum is far from slowing.
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๐ข Macro & Market Context
- The U.S. government shutdown paused key economic data releases, leaving markets to rely on alternative indicators like ADP payrolls (-32,000 jobs).
- Risk appetite remains strong: both S&P 500 and gold hit new highs, while crypto soared.
- With official data on hold, Fed policy guidance will be closely watched. Markets expect that rate-cut optimism will continue to support crypto and other hedges.
Seasonal tailwind: โUptoberโ is in full swing. Historically, October has been Bitcoinโs strongest month, averaging 28% gains since 2013. Combine that with macro uncertainty and strong ETF flows, and the setup looks bullish.InsightsMajors dominated trading, particularly BTC and ETH, with measured altcoin engagement in SOL, SUI, and smaller names like GEOD, BASEDAI, and L3.
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๐๏ธ Regulatory & Institutional Highlights
- Coinbase: U.S. national trust charter application moves crypto closer to traditional banking.
- VanEck: Lido-staked Ethereum ETF filed, unlocking regulated staking exposure.
- Robinhood CEO predicts tokenization adoption in major markets by 2030, calling it a โfreight train that canโt be stopped.โ
- NFT Legal Update: Bored Ape NFTs ruled not securities, clearing uncertainty for the NFT ecosystem.
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๐ NFT & Tokenization Spotlight
- Hyperliquid Hypurr NFTs: ~$75,000 weekly trading post-launch.
- Trump-backed World Liberty Financial: Exploring tokenized commodities (oil, gas, cotton, timber).
- FLOKI: Launched first European ETP, bridging meme coins with regulated markets.
- Sui Group Holdings: Planning dual stablecoinsโyield-bearing suiUSDe and non-yield USDi.
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๐ Key Events Next Week:ย A data-heavy week likely to guide markets
- ๐๐ข๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐๐ฒ๐ (๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฝ) ย Wednesday ย key insights into the Fedโs inflation outlook and potential rate-cut timing.
- ๐๐๐ ๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐๐ฒ๐ (๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฝ) - Thursday - markets will parse language for signs of a dovish shift amid slowing EU growth.
- ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ผ๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ (๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฝ) - Monday - a proxy for labor market strength in the absence of official payroll data.
- ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐๐๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น ๐ข๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ (๐๐๐ด) - Tuesday - a critical read on European manufacturing momentum and risk sentiment.
- ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ผ๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ (๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฝ) - Friday - labor data that could influence North American rate expectations and CAD-USD flows.
- ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐๐ฒ ๐ ๐ฎ & ๐ก๐ฒ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐ฎ๐ป๐ (๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฝ) - Friday - fresh signals on Chinaโs liquidity stance and global risk appetiteโkey for crypto demand cycles.
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๐ ย Takeaway: Crypto roared back in style this week
Bitcoin smashed records, altcoins rallied, DEX volumes soared, and institutional adoption accelerated. ETF flows, tokenization initiatives, and strong market positioning suggest Q4 could be explosive for the sector.Markets are watching macro cues, derivative positioning, and regulatory developments, but the story is clear: crypto is thriving amid uncertainty.
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Missed last weekโs update? Catch up on all headlines in the previous Portofino Mint.
๐๐ฉ๐ช๐ด ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด๐ข๐จ๐ฆ ๐ช๐ด ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ณ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ด๐ฆ๐ด ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ญ๐บ ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ฅ๐ฐ๐ฆ๐ด ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ต๐ช๐ต๐ถ๐ต๐ฆ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ท๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต ๐ข๐ฅ๐ท๐ช๐ค๐ฆ. ๐๐ญ๐ญ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ณ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ข๐ต๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ ๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ต๐๐๐.
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